MOUZ vs Liquid: Who Is More Ready to Advance to the EPL Semi-finals?

MOUZ vs Liquid: Who Is More Ready to Advance to the EPL Semi-finals?

Are these teams equal?

We are waiting for the first bo3 series with one of the teams that took first place in their group at EPL S16. Unexpectedly for many, it was MOUZ in group C. On the other hand, group D, with Liquid left from the third line, is also far from the strongest. Is MOUZ the clear favourite?

If you look back at the last 15 matches for both clubs, the picture turns out to be almost a mirror image - 11 wins and four losses, but you need to remember that MOUZ also played against frankly frail lineups, like Onyx. Liquid is doing somewhat better in terms of opponents, but it's a bit puzzling how Eternal Fire caused problems.

Comparison of performances in the last 15 matches
Comparison of performances in the last 15 matches

Even if we compare the team statistics for the last three months, then both MOUZ and Liquid are equal, but if nitr0 shows itself as well as against Eternal Fire and Cloud9, then the advantage will be shifted just towards the "horses".

The ranking chart tells us the same thing. All the cases when MOUZ was noticeably higher on the schedule were in games against tier-2/3 teams.

Comparison of in-game statistics for the last 15 matches
Comparison of in-game statistics for the last 15 matches

Definitely, "mouse" will rely on Mirage as objectively their strongest card, and Inferno will be in second place. Otherwise, the high percentage of wins looks deceptive - there were too many matches in the qualifications included in the statistics.

The percentage of wins on individual maps for MOUZ and Liquid
The percentage of wins on individual maps for MOUZ and Liquid

Predicting the exact outcome of this meeting is not very easy, and we can expect three very close maps. Still, we will rely on Liquid's pretence against stronger teams, which will be a decisive factor for the American club and bring it a victory.

More detailed pre-match statistics are available here.

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