Prediction for the NAVI vs. Spirit Match In ESL Pro League Playoffs

Prediction for the NAVI vs. Spirit Match In ESL Pro League Playoffs

Who will prevail in the match for the exit from the group?

Group D of the ESL Pro League Season 17 is gradually ending, and the final matches for exiting the group will begin today. Natus Vincere and Spirit will meet in the final of the lower bracket, and this match will determine the first participant in the first round of the ESL Pro League playoffs. Who will win, and who will fall into the last chance bracket?

Map veto

Map veto will be tense for both teams because the teams have weaknesses that their opponent can exploit. However, it is safe to say that we will not see Vertigo and Inferno because teams will ban them in the first veto stage.

Interestingly, NAVI neither picks nor bans Anubis, and Spirit is confident in this map because they already took it in the tournament. There is an extremely high probability that Spirit will take Anubis in the second veto stage. Speaking of NAVI, they are quite confident in Ancient and Overpass because they have already taken them at this event. However, choosing Ancient can be a mistake because Spirit shows an excellent game on it. A perfect option for Natus Vincere will be Overpass.

It should be said that the decider will be Spirit's choice for the most part. NAVI can ban Mirage or Ancient, and Spirit will be ready to play both of the remaining cards, so everything will depend on the desire and confidence of the team. Possible veto options are Overpass-Anubis-Nuke, Anubis-Overpass-Mirage, and Nuke-Anubis-Mirage. If none of the teams surprises the opponent on the veto map, then the cards look nicer for Spirit. There is little room for a veto maneuver for NAVI, which can cause team problems.

Statistics of veto maps of both teams
Statistics of veto maps of both teams

Form

NAVI does not look terrible at this tournament. Andrii npl Kuharski still has huge problems - the player is far behind his teammates and has an average rating of 5.2 in the tournament. At the same time, Natus Vincere, in general, looks uncertain and shows a very uneven game. This is evidenced by the defeat by FORZE and the losses of one map each to Astralis and Rare Atom.

At the same time, npl was especially bad on the first map with the Chinese. His rating on it was 3.7. And if Olexander s1mple Kostilev was able to return part of his former form and scored a grade of 6.8, the same cannot be said about the entire team. So if Natus Vincere does not show a qualitatively new game today, it will be challenging for the team.

NAVI's Stats during ESL Pro League
NAVI's Stats during ESL Pro League

The same cannot be said about Spirit. The team has already shown that it can play a great game, beating Astralis and Liquid with a score of 2-0. Furthermore, the team stumbled only on FORZE, which NAVI also lost. Spirit's form is near its peak, and a victory over NAVI will be the final proof of this statement.

Of course, Spirit cannot be called an absolute favorite, but the team can definitely take advantage of the weak performance of Natus Vincere and go to the playoffs today.

Teams' form
Teams' form

Prediction from HomeR

At the very beginning of the group, I said that Na'Vi could fail. And their latest results make me only strengthen this faith. First, the pool of cards is weak. Second, Npl is still not confident enough. Twice last, once penultimate in the rating for this tournament. I'm amazed that Born to Win is considered a favorite in the match against Team Spirit. I think Spirit now has a better card pool and overall team condition. If Na'Vi doesn't show a better game than before, they will have to continue their way to the grid of the last chance. And, to be honest, I expect this scenario.
Olexander HomeR Lysenko

When will the match be held?

The NAVI vs. Spirit match will be held today at 5:00 PM Kyiv time. All information about the ESL Pro League can be found on the event page.

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